MESSAGE
DATE | 2020-05-04 |
FROM | Ruben Safir
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SUBJECT | Subject: [Hangout - NYLXS] Morphing the Flattening
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viral Medium piece published in mid-March famously called the period of lockdowns to squelch the disease, the Hammer, and the subsequent period of living with it after the worst had been averted, the Dance. The article didn’t deny the seriousness of the disease; if anything, it was alarmist. Yet by the standards of the current debate, the piece is unacceptably lax.
“The time needed for the Hammer,” it said, “is weeks, not months.” After that, it predicted, “our lives will go back close to normal.” And it contemplated living in a fuzzy realm of trade-offs between important goals — or, as the author put it, “a dance of measures between getting our lives back on track and spreading the disease, one of the economy vs. health care.”
Such an acknowledgment of the need to strike a balance between the economy and public health is now considered tantamount to murder.
It has become a trope that pro-opening Republicans want to get people killed. A column in The New York Times was headlined: “How Republicans Became the Party of Death.” A Guardian piece opined: “ ‘Trump is Killing His Own Supporters’ — Even White House Insiders Know It.”
But the curve has been flattened. As former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Scott Gottlieb notes, the time of doubling of cases nationally has increased to 25 days.
An analysis by Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics shows most states below their peak cases. There are some states — for instance Minnesota, Virginia, Delaware, Iowa and Indiana — that are still around their peaks. But others like Alaska, Montana, Idaho, Hawaii, Louisiana, Michigan and Oklahoma passed their peaks weeks ago. see also California will allow some businesses to reopen with curbside pickup
Not too long ago, the Republican who supposedly most wanted to get people killed was Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida. In announcing his re-opening plan, he recalled all the dire projections of what would befall Florida because he was supposedly late in issuing a stay-at-home order, effective April 3.
Yet Florida is coming out of this phase of the epidemic vastly better off than Louisiana, Massachusetts and New York. About 40 percent of its hospitals beds have been available at any given time.
In retrospect, there was wisdom in DeSantis letting municipalities and counties take the initiative in a big, diverse state.
Besides which, people are capable of making their own decisions. They decided to stay at home before the state formally told them to. According to a Wall Street Journal report, the movements of people began declining in mid-March, well before the statewide stay-at-home order.
The reverse is also true. If they are still afraid of the virus, people aren’t going to return to normal, whether their states are formally open or not.
In a better world, the lockdowns wouldn’t have merely avoided the worst but crushed the spread of the disease. That hasn’t happened. We will be engaged in a Dance for some time, even if one faction in our national life only ever wants to wield a Hammer.
https://nypost.com/2020/05/04/pro-lockdown-extremists-in-denial-about-why-we-did-it-in-the-first-place/
-- So many immigrant groups have swept through our town that Brooklyn, like Atlantis, reaches mythological proportions in the mind of the world - RI Safir 1998 http://www.mrbrklyn.com DRM is THEFT - We are the STAKEHOLDERS - RI Safir 2002
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Being so tracked is for FARM ANIMALS and extermination camps, but incompatible with living as a free human being. -RI Safir 2013 _______________________________________________ Hangout mailing list Hangout-at-nylxs.com http://lists.mrbrklyn.com/mailman/listinfo/hangout
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