MESSAGE
| DATE | 2020-04-06 |
| FROM | Ruben Safir
|
| SUBJECT | Subject: [Hangout - NYLXS] this lockout is ENDLESS
|
President Trump asked Americans during Monday's coronavirus briefing to
maintain their social distancing through the end of the month to bring
the coronavirus under control.
And if people really do observe the stay-at-home orders, models suggest
that the epidemic could wane by summer. There's also the hope that the
changing weather will help slow the spread of virus, though that's far
from certain.
But there's a problem. Even if things "get better all of a sudden," as
the president suggested he hoped would happen, the virus will not have
gone away.
"This virus is now in thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of
locations around the world," said Mark Denison, director of the division
of infectious disease at the Vanderbilt University Medical Center. "And
it's not finished with its human exploration."
Not that the virus is intentionally exploring, it's just doing what
viruses do: infecting cells and making copies of itself. That doesn't
happen when enough people are immune from infection, either because
people have been exposed to the virus, and recovered, or because they've
been vaccinated.
Virologists call people who don't have that immunity "naïve." Their
immune system hasn't learned how to deal with the threat the virus
represents.
"This virus has about 8 billion immune-naive people on the planet," said
Denison. He worries that the virus could easily flare up again once
people start going back to work and restarting their accustomed activities.
"This thing is scaring the hell out of me," said Denison.
"When the virus is gone, people are going to sit next to each other,"
Trump said, at sporting events and restaurants. But that may be farther
off than the president thinks.
The best protection against the virus would be a vaccine. But that's
probably at least a year away, even if the crash development programs
now underway succeed.
Still, Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and
Infectious Diseases, said it may be possible to loosen societal
restrictions sooner. "I don't think that you're going to have to say
that the country cannot get back to a real degree of normalcy until you
absolutely have a safe and effective vaccine," he said during the briefing.
A test that measure people's antibodies, and presumably their immunity,
to the virus will be available widely by May, according to U.S. Public
Health Service Admiral Brett Giroir.
That kind of test will be "so important," Fauci said, because then
health officials will know how widely the virus has spread.
Broader testing capability, including antibody testing, would help the
country reduce the kind of COVID-19 mitigation by social distancing that
is in effect now. "We will have in place the capability of identifying
[cases], contract tracing and isolating so it never gets out of hand,"
he said.
--
So many immigrant groups have swept through our town
that Brooklyn, like Atlantis, reaches mythological
proportions in the mind of the world - RI Safir 1998
http://www.mrbrklyn.com
DRM is THEFT - We are the STAKEHOLDERS - RI Safir 2002
http://www.nylxs.com - Leadership Development in Free Software
http://www.brooklyn-living.com
Being so tracked is for FARM ANIMALS and extermination camps,
but incompatible with living as a free human being. -RI Safir 2013
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