MESSAGE
DATE | 2008-01-19 |
FROM | Ruben Safir
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SUBJECT | Subject: [NYLXS - HANGOUT] Time/Warner - Less for more is a boon
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January 18, 2008, 9:23PM EST Time Warner's Pricing Paradox Proposed changes in how the cable provider sets fees for Web use could crimp demand for download services and inhibit Web innovation
by Catherine Holahan
Done right, a plan by Time Warner's (TWX) cable division to charge higher fees for heavy Internet users could become a boon for most Web customers. Done wrong, the new pricing could slow growth for fledgling video download services and discourage Web entrepreneurs from starting their own bandwidth-intensive businesses.
Time Warner Cable plans to test a multitiered price system for high-speed broadband service later this year. New customers in the trial area of Beaumont, Texas, will be charged different rates based on the amount of data consumed in a month, much like a cell-phone plan charges based on minutes used.
Some consumer groups say the proposal could benefit average consumers who use the Web moderately, for such services as e-mail and the occasional YouTube (GOOG) video, rather than frequent network-clogging downloads. Tiered pricing would provide many users faster service by forcing the small percentage of Web surfers tying up the network to pay a premium.
Time Warner and other major Internet service providers (ISPs) often blame slowdowns on the 5% of users who consume as much as 50% of network capacity downloading vast numbers of large files, such as movies, videos, and songs. By charging such consumers more, companies could encourage them to curb excess use, or generate enough extra cash to enable their systems to handle higher data demands. "What we are trying to do is create the best experience possible for all of our users," Time Warner spokesman Alex Dudley says. Unintended Consequences
But the plan could also stifle demand for movie-download services from companies including Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Netflix (NFLX), some consumer groups say. "It depends on how they structure it," says Art Brodsky, communications director of Public Knowledge, a nonprofit consumer advocacy group focused on digital rights. "You don't want to do it so you totally discourage uploading videos and downloading videos, and doing what the Net is used for."
Another unintended consequence of tiered pricing is that it could discourage some companies from launching new services that require large bandwidth, consumer advocates say. The plans could also penalize early adopters whose heavy use of new services helps developers come up with refinements that use up less bandwidth, says Marvin Ammori, general counsel for Free Press, a nonprofit consumer group that advocates laws that would bar network owners such as cable and phone companies from using discriminatory pricing and other methods (BusinessWeek.com, 1/29/07) to smother competition. "It could stifle new high-bandwidth applications." Affordable Options
Time Warner intends to offer plans priced for up to 5, 10, 20, and 40 gigabytes per month, with middle-tiered plans running roughly the same amount average users currently pay for high-speed connections. (Time Warner offers high-speed plans for $29.95 a month in some areas.)
Time Warner would do well to keep its plans affordable, or it may lose customers to rival providers. Consumer advocates are optimistic that such competition will encourage companies to price plans so customers feel free to try new services. They also hope ISPs will use extra revenue from premium plans to upgrade their broadband networks, enabling more and different kinds of services to become available in the future. "We are hoping that this is only an interim step as the ISPs move into improving their networks," says Ammori. Trending Toward Tiered Fees
Time Warner isn't alone in considering higher fees for big Net users. Comcast (CMCSA), one of the largest residential high-speed ISPs, is evaluating such a system, says Comcast spokeswoman Jennifer Khoury. Cox Communications, which has 3.6 million U.S. subscribers, is also looking into variable pricing, though it doesn't have any immediate plans to adopt such a system, says spokesman David Grabert.
Verizon (VZ), which has been rolling out its own high-speed Internet service across the country, has no plans to adopt a similarly tiered payment plan, says Verizon spokesman Eric Rabe. "I think this is Time Warner's response to the cable companies' problem in a shortage of bandwidth," says Rabe. "We don't think that we are in a position that we need to do that." Fair Warning
Currently, Comcast and others manage users who exceed bandwidth limits by warning them to curb their data use or upgrade to a business account, lest their service be terminated (BusinessWeek.com, 3/27/07). The strategy has resulted in loud complaints from customers and consumer advocates.
Time Warner's tiered service would also warn users when they are consuming more data than their plan allows and encourage them to upgrade to a higher plan. However, it would charge users fees for exceeding their gigabyte limit, rather than boot them from the service. "Time Warner's pricing test could be a welcome development for consumers and for the cable industry," Public Knowledge President Gigi Sohn said in a statement. "Cable companies could be able to better manage their networks and costs, so they won't have to resort to cutting off customers for exceeding phantom usage levels or throttling some applications."
Holahan is a writer for BusinessWeek.com in New York .
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